There have been discussions, positive and negative, about Hillary Clinton's chances to be the next President, since the midterm ended. Some of the negative talk centers around exit polling. Some of it centers around her just not wanting to deal with the trouble of the campaign or dealing with this dysfunctional Congress. Some even gets into the age difference between her and the GOP front-runners. Attacking them one by one:
- If the electorate in 2016 looks demographically like the electorate in 2014, and it isn't likely to, any Democratic nominee will lose. The reality is that the electorate in 2016 will not be as old, white, or male as this year's, so of course it won't match this electorate's feelings about Clinton. Had the 2010 electorate been the 2012 electorate, President Romney would be prepping for re-election. The electorate will improve, or it won't matter who runs. The electorate, even if it's not at 2012 levels, will be better.
- This Congress sucks, but that's probably a better reason for someone who has spent her whole life fighting for Democratic and progressive causes to run. Hillary Clinton can handle Johnny and Mitch, and would come in well prepared to do so. Besides that, the Senate will not be the same in 2017 as it is today, as the 2016 Senate map is much better.
- Yes, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz are younger than her. No, none of them are electable in a national election. Fear won't scare her off.
In short, I think the midterm will help her case. First off, it will allow her to chart a bit of a new course from the current President, even with their similarities. Second off, it will force the Republicans to take part in governing, diminishing their case against President Obama, and more likely embarrassing them as their lunatics in Congress don't stay within the mainstream. In short, we'll get a look at Republican governance, and see that it's even worse than it was when President Bush left town in 2009. The midterm results make Hillary's case stronger, and make no other Democrat's case stronger. It's time for the party to get behind her.
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