While most of us were doing something fun for ourselves on Saturday evening, old, cranky, cynical Republicans were watching Mike Huckabee resign from Fox News to pursue a run for President in 2016. Yes, the 2008 Iowa Caucus winner joins an ever-growing field of lunatics, opportunists, re-runs, and other forms of non-desirable potential Presidents. He becomes the first of the 2008 re-treads, and joins a field with people like Ben Carson (The ACA is worse than 9/11), Rick Santorum (He slept with a dead fetus), and Jeb Bush (Sane, but probably ready to run an even more evil, incompetent White House than his brother).
The Republican Primary system is basically looking like tribal warfare, with different "brackets," if you will, emerging to separate the potential combatants. They are:
The Republican Primary system is basically looking like tribal warfare, with different "brackets," if you will, emerging to separate the potential combatants. They are:
- The establishment money-men: This field absolutely includes Bush and probably Chris Christie. It's a strong possibility that Mitt Romney could grace this field again. John Kasich and Rob Portman of Ohio absolutely could grace this field, and Marco Rubio likes to think he does. Give the early edge here to Bush, however Romney doesn't have to necessarily "win" this field if he's willing to self-finance.
- The Christian Conservative men: Huckabee will likely join 2012 re-tread Rick Santorum in a battle of "close but not quites" from times gone by. I would assume that Ted Cruz and Ben Carson will also seek out this mantle as well. Apparently this is also the way forward for Bobby Jindal too. Give the early edge to Huckabee, if this bracket matters at all, and if not, give it to Cruz.
- The Class of 2010/Teabilly men: Rand Paul certainly is the headliner of the 2010 Senators who grace us in this group, along with Marco Rubio. While Cruz is not technically a 2010er, and some in the next group are, Cruz is absolutely battling these two for prominence. Give the early edge to Cruz, I don't think Paul really has appeal beyond that of his father.
- The Governor Class: Scott Walker and Bobby Jindal come up first amongst DCers, but guys like Mike Pence have to come up here. Rick Perry should be discussed here, though I think he might fit in the next group just as well. Watch New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez as well. Christie will seek this mantle out too. Give the early edge to Christie and Walker.
- The Maverick/Cowboy/Non-Politician Crowd: Perry headlines this group to me, as well as Ben Carson. Carly Fiorina apparently wants to be in this crowd as well. While they won't run, you'd consider such clowns as Sarah Palin and Donald Trump here too. Perry has the early edge.
So basically i'm giving the early edges to Bush, Romney, Huckabee, Cruz, Christie, Walker, and Perry. I think these candidates will raise enough early money to survive the Summer, and get to the real portion of this election.
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